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The Radar ranks events by Belenor Signal Score — how unusual AND how reliable a signal is. Filter by theme and platform; click any market to open its full score report, more data, and the user discussion.

Theme: Platform: sorted by Signal Score ▼

Markets across multiple platforms (Polymarket, Kalshi, Metaculus, Manifold). The anomaly engine runs in your browser. Click a row to open the market, its score report and comments.

EventPlatformThemeYESΔ24hVolumeAnomaly

Active anomaly rules

Prediction markets settle on-chain (Polygon). Belenor watches money flows for unusual movements that COULD indicate informed money — a signal to investigate, never an accusation.

$413.5M
pUSD collateral (verified)
V2
live contract stack
88.37M
Polygon block @ snapshot

Verified contracts

RoleAddressVerify

Heuristic index — "suspicious flow"

No single heuristic is proof. Belenor surfaces a wallet only when ≥2 independent signals converge on the same market — always as "a signal to investigate", never an accusation. Toggle signals to see the example score change.

Illustrative wallet — 0xA1b2…f00d

market: "Ceasefire by Friday?" · ILLUSTRATIVE — not a real address
Belenor Suspicion Score
Ethics & law: on-chain flows are circumstantial, never proof. Wallets are pseudonymous: Belenor does not de-anonymise or name people. Probabilistic language only ("anomalous", "to investigate"). Market-makers, exchange hot wallets and protocol adapters are whitelisted.

Open signals from the physical world and the news. The GDELT chart below loads live in your browser (open API, no key). Other sources need a small server-side proxy — status in the table.

Data & rights: Belenor is built ONLY on freely-usable data — GDELT (free, incl. commercial), public prediction-market APIs, public Polygon on-chain. Sources marked "licence" are NOT used until properly licensed.

GDELT · coverage volume (live)

query:

Source catalog

SourceCategoryFree APIRightsReliab.

Belenor's promise is to be the most rigorous place to research these markets: every signal carries a transparent reliability score. No black box.

Reliability score (0–100)

Source · 40%

Authority of the source.

Strength · 35%

Deviation from baseline.

Corroboration · 25%

Independent sensor classes that agree. Single source → capped at "Watch".

Output bands

Interactive calculator

Source
85
Strength
70
Corroboration (classes)
2

The open discussion of Belenor. Debate the signals, share evidence, challenge a read. Powered by Giscus (GitHub) — real comments, no ads. House rules: discuss the move, not the person; evidence > opinion; no financial advice.

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To turn this into a live community: create a public GitHub repo (e.g. belenor-net/community), enable Discussions, install the free giscus app, then open belenor_terminal.html, find const GISCUS= and paste your repo, repoId and categoryId. Until then this placeholder is shown. Full steps in Belenor_terminal_live.md.